CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2020-11-22T01:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2020-11-22T01:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/16105/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with an eruption showing dimming to the NE and SW of AR 2783 starting around 2020-11-21T15:20Z. Rising field lines associated with this event are visible in SDO AIA 171/193 near S35E15. The leading edge of this CME is faintly visible in SOHO LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery as early as 2020-11-22T01:36Z. The visibility of this CME in SOHO LASCO C2 is obscured by the emergence of a nearly simultaneous CME also associated with this eruption from AR 2783.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-11-26T04:06Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 300.0 km/s u_r = 349.616 Acceleration: 0.354210 Duration in seconds: 354648.27 Duration in days: 4.1047253 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.35 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 475.2 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 26/11/2020 Time: 04:06 UTLead Time: 20.60 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2020-11-25T07:30Z
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers.
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement